Instead of 1,000 students above projection, it turns out the Wake County school system is 910 students below projection this school year.
School communications officials say this year's official enrollment, based off the 20th day of classes last week, is 149,508 students. That's a net gain of 2,821 students from last year's total of 146,687 students.
A gain of more than 2,800 kids is nothing to sneeze about. But keep in mind the official enrollment projection, used in the budget presented to the county, called for 150,418 students this year.
This year's 20th day figure is actually smaller than the Day 10 figure of 149,528 students.
Back in the summer, Wake was talking about potentially being 1,000 students over projection. Wake had 151,487 students registered in June for this school year.
Chief Transformation Officer Judy Peppler had warned that the registration numbers might be inflated by people who participated in the choice plan but who decided not enroll after not getting the school they wanted.
Enrollment projections are jointly done by school and county staff.
Whether being this far below projection causes a problem remains to be seen. Will it have a negative impact on the school bond campaign?
Will the highly ticked off Republican majority on the Wake County Commissioners try to demand that the school system return part of the budget funding built on the higher projection?
This year's total leaves Wake as the largest district in the state and the 16th largest nationally.