Blogs

newsobserver.com blogs

Timing of new enrollment projections

Do you think there's any significance in the timing of the release of the new student enrollment projections?

As noted in today's article, the projections weren't released in the normal way. Traditionally, they've been released at a joint meeting of the school board and county commissioners.

Instead, they were released at the school board's facilities committee meeting.

Quick recap of facilities committee meeting

Here's a quick rundown of the facilities committee meeting.

Enrollment projections have been scaled back again. For budget purposes, the preliminary figures have Wake at 164,480 students in 2015. For construction planning purposes, the projection is 176,489 students in 2015.

For the 2006 bond issue, enrollment had been projected to reach more than 190,000 students by 2015.

UPDATED END OF POST TO INCLUDE LINKS TO ONLINE ARTICLE AND HANDOUTS FROM MEETING

Looking at capacity figures and enrollment projections

School capacity figures and enrollment projections are on the school board's agenda today.

Both issues will come up during the board's facilities committee meeting. They're a big deal because it's likely that they'll become an issue as the new board attempts to implement its policies.

Asst. Supt. Chuck Dulaney will discuss the 2009 facilities utilization report. The report lists the capacities and enrollments of each school.

Wake reports 139,599 students this year

Wake County school officials announced today that the school system’s official enrollment grew by 1,893 students from last year’s total.

School officials say the enrollment on the 20th-day of classes was 139,599 students, compared to 137,706 students at that same time last year. School districts use the 20th-day figures to report an official enrollment to the state for funding purposes.

The school district based the budget on having 140,012 students. Whether county commissioners ask for money back from the school system for those 413 students is debatable.

Student enrollment up in Wake but down in Charlotte

Unlike Wake, it looks like Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools are shrinking in size this year.

According to today's Charlotte Observer, CMS reported having 133,664 students in K-12, down almost 400 from last year. The figure is based on enrollment for Tuesday, which was the 20th day of classes for Charlotte, Wake and most school districts in the state.

School districts use 20th-day totals to determine the official enrollment for the school year.

No word yet on when Wake will announce a Day 20 number. But based on Day 10, Wake is still growing as it then had 139,362 students, a gain of 1,656 from last year.

Wake's 10th-day enrollment

Wake had 139,362 students as of the 10th day of classes for traditional-calendar schools on Tuesday.

Over the next couple of days, school officials will use the enrollment figures to determine how many teachers will be moved to different schools to help reduce class sizes. Schools get funding for teachers based on the number of students they have enrolled.

School officials say they’ve been fairly close to their enrollment projections. Schools officials had projected in February that enrollment would reach 140,012 students by the 20th day of classes. That estimate was lowered to 139,726 students last month.

Day 10 enrollment and lowering growth projections

Wake is continuing to lower its projected enrollment for the upcoming school year.

Wake's latest projection for the 2009-10 school year calls for 139,726 students, an increase of 2,020 kids from this past school year. This compares to a June projection of 139,951 students and 140,012 students in February.

While the recession bears part of the blame for Wake' relatively small growth rate this year, school officials have said the major reason is the new state law requiring kids to turn 5 by Aug. 31 to enter kindergarten. Growth is projected to go to above 4,000 students in 2010-11.

Lowering enrollment projections

The enrollment projections are being lowered again in the face of the national economic meltdown.

At today's joint meeting, school and county staff say that, for budgeting purposes, they're projecting enrollment this fall at 140,012 students. That would be a gain of 2,306 students, the smallest increase since 1990.

The growth is so much slower this fall because of the economy and a new state law that says students must turn age 5 by Aug. 31 to attend kindergarten.

Bluntly discussing the economic situation

It's going to be a tough love kind of meeting today between the school board and county commissioners.

As noted in today's article, County Manager David Cooke said he’ll talk bluntly to school board members as he walks them “step-by-step” through the limitations on borrowing more money in the face of steep declines in tax revenues.

“It gets down to what you can afford given the current realities of the economy,” Cooke said in the article. “It’s not that we like having to make these tough choices, that’s just where we are.”

More from Monday's CEM meeting

Here are a few odds and ends from Monday's CEM meeting on growth projections, the cost of reassignment and Wake's academic status.

A parent asked Asst. Supt. Chuck Dulaney if the current economic conditions have been factored into the growth projections used in the draft reassignment plan. Dulaney said no but that the municipalities may be updating the housing projections they provided the school system two years ago.

Another parent asked if the school district has done a formal cost benefit analysis of the reassignment proposal. Dulaney said no.

Cars View All
Find a Car
Go
Jobs View All
Find a Job
Go
Homes View All
Find a Home
Go

Want to post a comment?

In order to join the conversation, you must be a member of newsobserver.com. To register or to log in using your existing account, click here.
Advertisements