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Krzyzewski's October predication about Plumlee rings true in March

Mike Krzyzewski was right on when he called Mason one of the best in the country in October. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

The postseason will officially be upon us at noon tomorrow, when the first game of the ACC Tournament tips. But before that, there is a bit of time to reflect on the regular season that was.

Ending the regular season with a 27-4 record was a major accomplishment for the Blue Devils. It would not have been unreasonable for them to have accumulated four losses in November alone (look back at the Battle 4 Atlantis field and remember the matchups with Kentucky and Ohio State). But Duke ran the table in the nonconference season and, to borrow a metaphor from Mike Krzyzewski, kept the ship afloat for the 13 games Ryan Kelly missed with his right foot injury.

The main reason for all of this success is two-fold: better defense (Duke ranks 24th in Ken Pomeroy's adjusted defensive efficiency ratings, a 46-spot improvement from last year—but more on that Friday), and a better Mason Plumlee.

Seth Curry named Sporting News All-American

Duke's Seth Curry enjoyed himself as he hit his first eight shots in the first half at North Carolina. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

With the release of the all-ACC teams, it's officially awards season. On that note, the Sporting News announced their all-America teams, and Duke's Seth Curry was a second-team selection.

Curry, who was also named ACC Player of the Week, ranks third in the ACC with 17.1 points per game and a .435 3-point shooting percentage. He's also second with 2.7 3-pointers per game and fifth with a .810 free throw percentage. Curry has scored at least 20 points in 16 games this season, including 11 of Duke's 18 ACC contests.

Due to a nagging right shin injury, Curry has rarely practiced this year. More on that in this story from last week.

Laura Keeley's 2012-13 All-ACC teams

Mason Plumlee is a candidate for ACC Player of the Year. Credit: ROBERT WILLETT

The 2012-13 All-ACC Teams will be released Monday at 1 p.m., and the player and coach of the year will come out Tuesday. As a member of the Atlantic Coast Sports Media Association (ACSMA), I'm entitled to vote. I spent a while figuring out whether I wanted to vote—you'd probably be surprised how many writers in this area opt not to vote for various reasons. But in the end, I decided to participate in the process. I watch an awful lot of ACC basketball. In fact, I have Maryland vs. Virginia on in the background now.

The two hardest decisions were Player of the Year and the fifth member of the first-team. I made a spreadsheet with the names of 21 sophomores, juniors and seniors (I knew going in that I didn't think any freshmen deserved consideration for the main teams). I looked at a variety of traditional and "advanced" stats: points per game, possessions percentage, offensive rating, field goal percentage, effective field goal percentage, rebounds per game, offensive rebounding percentage, defensive rebounding percentage, assists per game, free throw rate and steals per game. I used Statsheet, the best college hoops statistics site out there. And it's free.

I didn't go strictly by the numbers, but I did use them to gather more information to go along with the observations I've made throughout the year.

The stats I used were through Saturday's games—what happened in Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech and Virginia vs. Maryland wasn't going to change my mind.

Here's the ballot I turned in, followed by explanations:

Postgame: Thoughts from Duke's 69-53 win over UNC

Tyler Thornton and the rest of the Blue Devils crashed UNC's senior day. Credit: ROBERT WILLETT

CHAPEL HILL Well, that was unexpected. Duke thoroughly dominated UNC from the opening tip until the final buzzer, and Andrew Carter details the in between in the game story here. Mason returned to his player of the year form, and—get this—Roy Williams lost for the first time on senior day. Ever. That spans 25 years as a head coach and 10 as an assistant to Dean Smith. Hard to believe, but it's true: Duke hadn't closed out the season with a win in Chapel Hill since 2001, when the Carlos Boozer-less Blue Devils ran all over the Tar Heels.

I'm writing a bigger picture take on what this means for Duke later today, and I'll link it here when it's up. In the meantime, a few quick thoughts I jotted down during the game:

Duke dominates UNC for 69-53 win

Updated 12:40 a.m.

CHAPEL HILL — Duke’s dominant 69-53 victory against North Carolina here on Saturday night might been expected in the middle of February, when the teams played for the first time in Durham in Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Game Preview: Duke at UNC

Mason Plumlee came alive late in the game when the Tar Heels came to Durham. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

Duke at North Carolina
When:
9 p.m.
Where: The Smith Center, Chapel Hill
TV/Radio: ESPN/WKIX-102.9 FM

Good morning, folks, and welcome to the second installment of the 2012-13 Duke-Carolina rivalry. As usual, there is plenty of pregame reading:

• In September, Mike Krzyzewski got a call saying Seth Curry might miss the whole year. Now in March, Curry isn't just surviving. He's thriving.

Andrew Carter, our UNC beat writer, with the big-picture look of how UNC and Duke have arrived just one game apart in the ACC standings.

• My take on UNC's small lineup: no one, not C.J. Leslie and not Alex Len, has taken advantage of the mismatch. Duke needs Ryan Kelly and Mason Plumlee to be the first to do so.

Luke DeCock with a closer look at the two critical freshmen, Rasheed Sulaimon and Marcus Paige

And now a full breakdown of the matchups:

Tale of the tape:

POINT GUARD: Marcus Paige vs. Quinn Cook

Weekend wake up: Positive reinforcement

Mike Krzyzewski has opted to focus on the positives with the media this season. Credit: ROBERT WILLETT

Every Saturday, the News & Observer takes a look around the ACC. That also provides an opportunity to check in with the Blue Devils and look for any emerging trends.

After capping off a perfect home record with a sometimes-ugly 85-57 win over last-place Virginia Tech, Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski was asked if he was satisfied with his team as postseason play awaits.

“We’re ecstatic about it,” Krzyzewski said.

Postgame: thoughts from Duke's 85-57 win over Virginia Tech

Mike Krzyzewski subbed out his seniors, like Seth Curry, late in the game, but, other than that, the bench has shortened considerably. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

DURHAM—Game No. 30 is in the books, just like the home careers of Mason Plumlee, Ryan Kelly and Seth Curry. Read all about it in the game story from Duke's 85-57 win over Virginia Tech.

••• 9 a.m. update With 3:36 left in the game, Seth Currytook a knee to his injured right shin, and he went down in obvious pain. Curry was subbed out and continued to rub his shin on the bench.

"Somebody kneed right into it. That’s not good," he said.

"It just hurt bad for a few minutes. I’ll be alright."

Curry, who injured his shin in mid-September, has only missed one game this year.

••• After not playing at all against Miami, Amile Jefferson entered the game for the first time midway through the first half. Jefferson started six games in Ryan Kelly’s absence, but only two reserves (Josh Hairston and Tyler Thornton) played against the Hurricanes. Jefferson played four minutes Tuesday, finishing with two points and one rebound. Eight Blue Devils (the starters plus Thornton, Hairston and Jefferson) played while the game was still competitive.

Duke downs the Hokies 85-57

Ryan Kelly, along with Mason Plumlee and Seth Curry, said goodbye to Cameron with a 85-57 win over Virginia Tech. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

DURHAM—The senior night festivities for Mason Plumlee, Ryan Kelly and Seth Curry actually started Monday night, when Mike and Mickie Krzyzewski and their daughters took them out to dinner. Before the game, Plumlee paid attention to every song the pep band played, trying to soak in the sights and sounds of his last game in Cameron. So when the ball was tipped, it wasn’t easy to cancel out the background noise and focus on the game.

“It’s hard,” Plumlee said, “until you realize you’re about to lose. At halftime I think we got our heads on straight.”

No. 3 Duke did play much better in the second half of the 85-57 win over Virginia Tech. After the game, Mike Krzyzewski was asked to reflect on having three great players still around as seniors, and he did so happily. And then a reporter asked him about Duke’s defense on Erick Green.

“We transitioned (that) quick,” Krzyzewski said.

Game Preview: Duke vs. Virginia Tech

It's senior day for Mason Plumlee, Ryan Kelly and Seth Curry. Credit: CHUCK LIDDY

Before we get to this preview, the above picture goes with < ahref="http://bit.ly/YpoHVh">this story I wrote on the bond between Mike Krzyzewski and Mason Plumlee. Enjoy.

Duke at Virginia Tech
When:
7:00 p.m.
Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham
TV/Radio: ESPNU/WKIX-102.9 FM

Projected starting lineups:

No. 3 Duke (25-4, 12-4 in the ACC)

G Quinn Cook, So., 12.5 ppg, 5.4 apg
G Seth Curry, Sr., 16.9 ppg, 2.3 rpg
G Rasheed Sulaimon, Fr., 12.0 ppg, 3.3 rpg
F Ryan Kelly, Sr., 14.8 ppg, 5.5 rpg
F Mason Plumlee, Sr., 17.1 ppg, 10.3 rpg

Virginia Tech (13-16, 4-12)

G Erick Green, Sr., 25.0 ppg, 4.0 apg
G Jarell Eddie, Jr., 11.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg
G Robert Brown, So., 8.9 ppg, 2.5 rpg
F C.J. Barksdale, So., 5.8 ppg, 4.9 rpg
F Cadarian Raines, Jr., 6.7 ppg, 6.5 rpg

Player to watch:

Seth Curry, Duke

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