Yeah, it's N.C. State.
The Wolfpack has the best quarterback in the conference, two NFL-level game-changers on defense and a smart coach.
Technically, State finished last in the division in '08 but it was only one game behind the winner (Boston College). All six teams finished either 5-3 or 4-4.
Expect the same competitiveness this season. Which means you pick the team with the best QB (his right knee willing) and eight home games.
Consider the alternatives:
— Florida State
Probably will take the preseason media vote because, well, they always do, but the Noles are a hot mess.
Running back Antone Smith (792 yards, 15 TDs) carried that offense last season and he's gone.
Maybe Greg Paulus will play receiver because among the (annual?) offseason transgressions, the Noles lost five receivers to the police blotter/waiver wire. A sixth, Taiwan Easterling, ruptured his Achilles.
Scary that FSU only lost one defender to the NFL (rush end Everette Brown), and the Noles will be good on defense, but don't underestimate the loss of kicker Graham Gano.
If Marcus Sims doesn't fumble on the goal line, FSU beats Georgia Tech and wins the Atlantic, and probably the ACC title. If that happens, Gano, not Wilson, is the league's MVP.
— Maryland
Is there any good reason to believe the Terps will break the cycle of mediocrity they're in?
(Aside: Consensus says Oakland took Maryland receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey way too soon in the NFL Draft. Agreed. But what about the teams (all 32?) that had Hey-Bey ahead of UNC's Hakeem Nicks on their draft board? Insanity.)
— Wake Forest
The Deacs' offense will be better in quarterback Riley Skinner's seventh season as the starter — it has to be.
Not the defense, though. I'd take Jim Grobe over any coach in the ACC but as a program, Wake's simply not to the point where it can lose talent like Aaron Curry (fourth overall pick) and Alphonso Smith (second-round pick) and replace it without taking a step back.
With Grobe, it won't get much worse than 6-6 but this is not another Orange Bowl team.
— Clemson
Let's face it, Clemson's broke. They had to buyout Tommy Bowden and they couldn't afford another coach. Hence, Dabo Swinney.
Given the fiscal environment, that's commendable but look at what has happened almost every time an ACC program has hired an inexperienced coach.
The ACC is not the place for on-the-job training. Look at how much further along UNC and N.C. State are with established head coaches who know how to manage a coaching staff and understand what it takes to build a program.
This is not going end well for Clemson. Maybe not 3-9 bad, or no-bowl bad but it's not going to end with a division title either.
— Boston College
The Eagles defied the odds in '08. And I'll be the first to admit I was wrong about that.
But another coaching transition? This one without Matt Ryan at quarterback or two NFL defensive linemen? Or without an innovative playcaller like Steve Logan?
BC won't fall completely off the map (yet), the schedule won't let them, but the post-O'Brien hangover will truly hit the Heights this season.
Staff photo by Ethan Hyman
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Prediction
Tue, 05/12/2009 - 13:52 — heelsno1Actually, I hope you are right about this one.
How much further along on Tobacco Road?
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 09:30 — bottomlineClemson fired their coach mid season and still landed a better bowl than both Carolina and NC State. Carolina and State lost their bowl games so how are they further along? Dabo is in a better situation than Butch and O'Brien because he has talent on the team. Butch and O'Brien took over teams with losing records and not much talent, thats why their predessesors were fired. Dabo is working with numerous top 25 recruiting classes. This Clemson team needs coaching, better schemes, and needs to be more physical to be successful something Tommy Bowden couldn't do. He tried to win on talent alone.
HAHA
Sun, 05/10/2009 - 13:47 — jt082005LOL...HAHA, if you honestly, no joke, think Nicks should have been graded higher by NFL teams that Hey-Bey.
If you are honestly writing that I can't even read the rest of this blog
Nicks better then Bey... uhh yeah
Mon, 06/01/2009 - 16:52 — the_wb91Nicks runs better routes, he is way stronger and has better hands. The NFL is in love with speed and continue to get bit by WR speedster year in and year out. Nicks even ran a way better 40 then they imagine. I like Darius but Nicks is a better WR... check the numbers.
Which team ended the season better?
Sat, 05/09/2009 - 15:02 — DerbyIt's all conjecture, but NCSU was definitely the best team in the ACC over the last 6 games of the season. Earlier season losses were hard fought and close. Some wins were close, some were convincing.
There are always questions, but NCSU probably has the fewest to answer on offense. Several proven options at RB and WR with some gamebreakers in there. OL has some youth that needs to mix in with the seniors and junior.
As far as arguing that NCSU is one QB from disaster - most teams are. Few teams have a proven backup QB. NCSU's has as good of a pedigree as anyone else in the conference.
NCSU may not win it, but they have fewer questions to answer and more key players returning from the best team in the ACC (for the last 6 games of the season) than anyone else. That you can't argue.
Agree
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 11:01 — SurferIt's all conjecture. Just like the "Walk of Champions". Soon to be renamed, the "C F Stroll" or the "Pregame Parade" or the "Ole' Wolf Walk". And finally, regarding your "key players returning", since they are VT transfers, don't they have to sit out a year?
HAHAHAAHAHA
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 13:38 — AlleyOopsI'll never look at you the same way again Surfer. I can't believe you think we got some VT transfers just b/c the backup's name is Glennon!! It's that guys' younger brother! Where have you been the last year?
Nope
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 14:51 — SurferI was referring to Derby's statement regarding returning players from "the best team in the ACC", i.e. VT, you know the ACC Champions.
spin city
Sat, 05/09/2009 - 23:04 — gvillegatrspin it anway you like. ncsu was still below .500 last year.
Trying Not to Be Too Excited
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 14:40 — DennisP11I like State's team this year!! I can see 7-1 in conference play but could also see 3-5. I'm not too concerned about BC, FSU, and Clemson but Va Tech will be tough! If we can manage to win 3 of those 4 we're in good shape. As much as it pains me to say it, I can see Wilson losing some affectiveness (we can't expect 17 TD and 1 INT again). Speaking of Wilson, and correct me if I'm wrong but wasn't it Jonathon Dwyer and not Wilson who was ACC POY (last paragraph on FSU assessment)?
In the USC game, I believe the score was 3-0 when Wilson went down, and although we were as far from efficient as you can get, we were still in the game. And on September 3rd there will be plenty of barbecued chicken to go around in the Triangle!!!
Let's hear some more of Walmart nation take jabs at State!!! After all, you have your basketball championship and can always revert back to that when talking about football!
DennisP11
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 19:56 — gvillegatr"Let's hear some more of Walmart nation take jabs at State!!! After all, you have your basketball championship and can always revert back to that when talking about football!"
what are you talking about??
don't even infer you are better than UNC in football. if anything, we are dead even. you guys can barely talk about football, so don't even tell Tar heel fans we can go back to talking about bball as if you guys are on top of ther world in football. hardly! try having a winning season before you try to put a Tar Heel football fan in its place.
you fricking state fans are this close to having me root for the team I hate the most in all of college football ... USC Lamecocks. please don't push me to that.
so tell me
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 13:35 — AlleyOopswhy does UNC hate USC?? They hardly every play in any sport yet it's actually a fierce fan rivalry. I don't get it. Just imagine if you guys played in something. I bet it'd be the rowdiest softball game ever.
I really do appreciate
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 21:30 — gvillegatrthe fact you think I represent UNC as a whole, but I do not. I wish I could hold that responsiblity, though! I don't like USC and never have. there as sad as the wolf puppy's when it comes to talking/bragging considering they have never won a conference title in football, EVER!
"just imagine if you guys played in something." ... what does that mean? dudette, clarify when trying to take something from your pea and place it on the blog!
Shamecocks
Tue, 05/12/2009 - 11:38 — noneyabusinessCarolina actually won the ACC championship in 1969. So, they did win it one time. We kicked them out of the conference shortly after that.
my bad
Tue, 05/12/2009 - 12:09 — gvillegatrI stand corrected. thank you.
Short memory
Sat, 05/09/2009 - 14:56 — DerbyToo funny - a unc@ch fan talking about winning records. His team has had one in the last decade.
NCSU has the most proven offense and a few losses compared to others. OL is actually fairly experienced, mostly experienced upperclassmen. No holes left from departures, unlike most other teams.
Defense has some playmakers and a couple of questions, but overall some reasons to be excited. Very few holes.
We'll see what happens - but unc@ch has arguably had the worst team in the ACC the last ten years. Only some bad calls and bad kicks have prevented Duke from making it certainly the worst team.
Nothing to be proud about
Mon, 06/01/2009 - 16:59 — the_wb91Derby, as a State fan you have absoluetly nothing to be proud about. You beat UNC in football last year but even with the bad records UNC has had... they beat State a number of times. State on last year but UNC had a better record and went to a better bowl. UNC's b-ball team won it all. UNC's baseball team is always great. State fans have nothing to be proud about in anything accept Bass Fishing... I heard you won that Championship a few years back.
Clemson is broke?
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 12:30 — Trippman0722Clemson spent approximately $1.8 Million on assistant coaches for the upcoming season. Also, State has a tremendously young offensive line - something that hampered those broke Tigers in the prior year.
And $800,000
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 18:34 — jpg (author)On a head coach and $3.5 million on the former coach.
See my point?
— JPG
I can see from the OP and
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 12:22 — caldwellheelI can see from the OP and other posts that drug usage is still prevalent in the Triangle.
"S.C. will be good, but there are two reasons why they won 34-0 last year -- RW got hurt and Daniel Evans played."
Wilson was all of 1-5 and had rushed for 12 yds. up to that point. Plus, USUck's QB had a horrible, horrible game.
"Can't blame you for wanting to experience an exciting football environment. Or, at the very least, seating more comfortble than at Kenan."
hahahahaha. BKS actually has restrooms that the fans and students actually use.
"41-10"
Why would one bring up the final score of that horrid game of NCSC vs. SFla? It was quite forgettable.........
TOB is 4-25 lifetime vs. the AP's top 25. That does not bode well for NCSC' outcomes vs. strong competition.
not sure about the 4-25 stat, but
Mon, 05/11/2009 - 13:43 — AlleyOopsI think his record has been much better when he actually has a home-field advantage (read: C-F).
It was a 3-0 game when Russell got knocked out and State was inside the red zone. It was the kid's first college start, he was shaking off the rust and he was moving us down the field. I want to say it was 13-0 going into the fourth quarter when the defense finally gave out from the 3-and-outs from Evans.
The seating thing at Kenan is undeniable.
I think NCSU may be in the mix...
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 12:21 — UNC1998so will WF, and in the end FSU. Cream will rise, and at NCSU lets hope the first half of the year mirrors the last. I'm excited about the area teams improving. I hope it makes for years of competitive football.
Happy Mothers Day to any Moms in the house.
Reasonable choice.
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 08:05 — JPDOhioSkepticism over any JPG preseason pick is certainly warranted, given a well-documented history of picks that crash and burn. Sports Illustrated has nothing on our favorite blog-master and punching bag when it comes to jinx-related matters.
However, his reasoning about State's chances and his evaluation of the competition is sound and I happen to agree with his assessment. Which means, of course, the State's season is doomed before it even starts.
For the record
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 00:24 — patmacgroine69Sorry to bring reality in to J.P. Giglio's world (BTW, is Louisville going to be No. 1 this year?), but no one in their right mind can believe State will win at BC (remember TOB's last trip?), at FSU or at Va. Tech. Throw in USC (34-0!?), Pitt and a Clemson team with a heckuva lot more talent than N.C. State, and you have six losses (four ACC) right there. If that's good enough to win the division, so be it.
you're living in the past
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 04:49 — AlleyOopsBC is on their 2nd coach in the last 3 years and hasn't recruited well since TOB left town. this year they'll fall back to earth.
S.C. will be good, but there are two reasons why they won 34-0 last year -- RW got hurt and Daniel Evans played.
Pitt lost most of their talent last year as did Clemson. Not saying they won't have some good ones, but last year was "their year" and they blew it.
VT and FSU will be hard. No denying that. But all you need to win the ACC is 5 wins. You don't have to be dominant to wind up on top.
Wolfpack will win the conference title!
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 21:37 — ciscopackWe had our parade last year in Chapel Hill...we'll have another on Nov. 28, 2009!
I agree wholeheartedly with the findings. Wolfpack football is going national. Tom O'Brien and staff have just begun.
Ha..........
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 21:37 — ThomasPaineNC State?.......... Not a chance. The Pack is one blow away- to Russell Wilson's knee (a guy who likes to run around absorbing contact) from complete disaster. The Pack played with fire all last season. Wilson used up all his nine lives last year. If they run the same offense this year with a scrambling QB .... Wilson will be TKO'ed before half the season is completed. TOB better keep Wilson in the pocket this year or the Pack's chances will end early.
RW's health
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 08:15 — JPDOhioTOB is on record as saying that they are working with Russell on his decision making when it comes to running with the ball. They want him to limit the situations that he puts himself in where he could get hurt.
Russell has shown he is capable of making great decisions under pressure, so I expect he will learn from last year and be even better. The key will be the O-Line protecting him well enough that the inevitable hits he takes behind the line of scrimmage are minimized.
If Russell does get hurt, I think Glennon will be fine. Even though he had a solid spring, he still is an unknown factor. That said, he can't be any worse than what came on the field last year when RW was out.
but still
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 04:52 — AlleyOopsit looks like Glennon (the new R-Fr backup) is a better QB now than Harrison Beck ever was. And remember, if Beck is your backup, you don't really have one.
Shoe in
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 14:51 — SurferAs bad as everyone else appears in the Division, no wonder State is the favorite. So anything less than an ACC Championship will be a let down. I mean considering that they can't win the "State Championship" this year. Oh wait, maybe Gardner-Webb can stand in for ECU? Or, if State beats South Carolina and North Carolina, they can claim the "Carolina Championship", although I doubt that that is what they would call it, but perhaps TOB would then claim to have the "best program in the Carolinas". The parade would soon follow. Wait, scratch the parade, TOB appears to have more sense than that.
wow
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 04:53 — AlleyOopsIt hurts you that bad huh?
No pain, no gain
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 15:46 — SurferDoesn't hurt one bit, just side splitting from the laughter. Just too funny.
Shoe in the arse
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 15:26 — norteltre41-10.
Results
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 16:02 — Surfer= 31. 52-20=32. 6 and 7; 8 and 5. Yada, yada, yada.
O-Line is key
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 12:23 — SpacewolfWe'll have a lot of youth on the o-line. If they can gel as a unit during fall practice, I could see us winning the division. A good offensive line lets Wilson use his arm more than his legs and lets him take fewer hits. It also obviously helps our running game, which has a huge void to fill with the departure of Andre Brown.
thx for this JPG!
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 11:58 — gvillegatrappears my 2 tickets in C-F will be an investment this season!! my parking pass ... a gold mine! already warned the fam!
So....
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 12:52 — JPDOhioIf I can't get my two tickets to the Pitt game through the Panther Club, can I buy yours for that game? If so, I expect an ACCNOW discount!
Can't blame you for wanting
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 12:20 — JamesinWillowSpringsCan't blame you for wanting to experience an exciting football environment. Or, at the very least, seating more comfortble than at Kenan.
LOL
Fri, 05/08/2009 - 04:55 — AlleyOopsYeah really, now we know how they cram in 60,000 seats in a stadium that appears to only seat 50,000.
Gatr
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 12:08 — jpg (author)Why do you have State tix? For the one game? Or do you want to cheer against Spurrier, too?
—JPG
i've told this before
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 13:27 — gvillegatrsome members of the family went to Moo U. so everyone brain washed me into buying tickets some years ago so we could treat it as a "family event."
I go to the good games, usually, and sell the bad ones. May sell them all this year b/c of expectations and schedule. top dollar will be had.
Dibs on the Pitt game.
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 15:15 — JPDOhioBut what about my ACCNOW discount?
hhhmmm
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 19:19 — gvillegatrwe'll have to see. I hope to sell them as a season ticket ...
Do it early
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 14:38 — SurferSell them all right before the season starts, in order to get top dollar. I predict a minor frenzy at that point.
"This is not going to end
Thu, 05/07/2009 - 11:32 — sbas2"This is not going to end well for Clemson" reminds me of some of the statements by that psycho killer in "No Country for Old Men". :-)